Player prop research
How PROP & SEEK researches player props
This methodology describes the research tools and Good Picks evidence used across NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB. PROP & SEEK is a research product, not a sportsbook.
How Good Picks are scored
The research score weights recent form at 50%, season hit rate at 35% and matchup evidence at 15%. Short recent and season samples are reduced toward neutral. Missing season or matchup evidence contributes a neutral value, not a positive signal. The score is a research ranking, not a calibrated probability of winning. Candidate selection also depends on current pregame prices and available history; a fallback selection is not a guaranteed edge.
What a historical hit rate means
A hit rate is the fraction of available graded results that cleared the displayed side and exact line. The interface exposes sample sizes and recent windows. It is descriptive of imported history and does not predict a future outcome. Pushes, unavailable results and missing appearances should be read with the displayed grading and coverage evidence.
Exact selections and price freshness
A selection includes the sport, game, player, market, side and numeric line. Live sportsbook quotes expire after five minutes. Started games and unavailable prices are not treated as fresh pregame offers. A changed threshold must be reviewed as a changed line, even if the player and market match.
Schedules and research dates
Research dates use America/Toronto. The research day rolls over after the day’s latest scheduled game start across supported sports. Displayed game status and lineup evidence depend on confirmed source information; unknown status remains unknown.
Data sources and coverage
NFL history includes nflverse data. Other sport research uses imported game logs and schedules, including ESPN box scores and schedules. Prices come from supported sportsbook feeds. The research desk and player details show available source, freshness and coverage context. Feeds may be delayed, blocked or incomplete; no missing price, starter flag or statistic is invented.
Pushes and missing results in hit rates
The displayed percentage is wins divided by graded games, multiplied by 100. Graded games include wins, losses and pushes; a push stays in the denominator without counting as a win. Missing results do not count as graded games. With seven wins, two losses and one push, the hit rate is 70.0%. With no graded games it remains unknown. See the worked examples and hit rate calculator.
Good Picks, availability and limitations
Good Picks highlights eligible research selections with supporting evidence. Membership controls access. There may be no qualifying pick for a sport or date. Historical hit rates, rankings and simulations are not guarantees of future performance. PROP & SEEK does not accept wagers; any betting decision and final price confirmation take place with the sportsbook.